Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Athletic
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
50 New Mexico St. 100.0%   14   24 - 9 10 - 4 24 - 9 10 - 4 +8.5      +4.5 63 +4.0 68 78.7 14 +6.4 80 +5.2 2
100 Nevada 7.6%   24 - 6 13 - 1 24 - 6 13 - 1 +4.8      +2.2 111 +2.7 97 65.5 223 +9.0 48 +15.7 1
133 Utah St. 0.0%   16 - 15 8 - 6 16 - 15 8 - 6 +2.4      +3.6 79 -1.2 209 58.7 324 +0.3 165 +2.4 4
150 Idaho 0.0%   16 - 13 9 - 5 16 - 13 9 - 5 +1.3      +2.9 99 -1.5 218 60.7 309 +1.1 152 +4.4 3
177 Fresno St. 0.0%   11 - 20 3 - 11 11 - 20 3 - 11 -0.7      -0.9 199 +0.3 165 61.5 299 -2.9 210 -7.1 7
185 Louisiana Tech 0.0%   16 - 16 6 - 8 16 - 16 6 - 8 -1.3      -0.5 185 -0.8 195 71.6 75 -0.1 169 -0.7 6
210 Hawaii 0.0%   14 - 16 6 - 8 14 - 16 6 - 8 -2.4      +0.5 155 -2.9 263 77.6 18 -1.0 182 -0.5 5
263 San Jose St. 0.0%   8 - 22 1 - 13 8 - 22 1 - 13 -6.0      -1.4 217 -4.6 288 65.8 215 -7.1 277 -13.0 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
New Mexico St. 2.0 100.0
Nevada 1.0 100.0
Utah St. 4.0 100.0
Idaho 3.0 100.0
Fresno St. 7.0 100.0
Louisiana Tech 5.0 100.0
Hawaii 5.0 100.0
San Jose St. 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
New Mexico St. 10 - 4 100.0
Nevada 13 - 1 100.0
Utah St. 8 - 6 100.0
Idaho 9 - 5 100.0
Fresno St. 3 - 11 100.0
Louisiana Tech 6 - 8 100.0
Hawaii 6 - 8 100.0
San Jose St. 1 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
New Mexico St.
Nevada 100.0% 100.0
Utah St.
Idaho
Fresno St.
Louisiana Tech
Hawaii
San Jose St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
New Mexico St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.3 5.8 42.6 50.3 1.0
Nevada 7.6% 0.0% 7.6% 0.1 2.0 4.6 0.9 92.4 7.6%
Utah St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fresno St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
San Jose St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
New Mexico St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 28.8% 11.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Nevada 7.6% 7.5% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fresno St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Jose St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.1 92.4 7.6
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 97.0 3.0
2nd Round 29.2% 0.3 70.8 29.0 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 11.4% 0.1 88.6 11.4 0.0
Elite Eight 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Final Four 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Game 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0